Russia could have great success in Bakhmut
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Russia could have great success in Bakhmut

(Dan Tri) – ISW said that Russia’s attacks could achieve significant success and be very alarming, especially in western Bakhmut, unless the US provides support for Ukraine.

Russian T-90M Proryv tank (Photo: Russian Ministry of Defense).

The US-based Institute for the Study of War (ISW) assesses that Russian forces are exploiting Ukraine’s shortcomings to achieve tactical victories.

Kiev officials also continue to warn that U.S. security assistance is critical to the Ukrainian military’s ability to defend against current and future Russian offensive operations, which are expected to

The head of the Defense Intelligence Directorate, Kirill Budanov, said that the Ukrainian army is actively preparing to repel a future major attack by Russia, expected in late May or early June, but confirmed

Ukrainian Defense Minister Rustem Umerov admitted on April 14 that the current situation in the east is very `tense` and the Russian army focused its efforts west of Bakhmut in the direction of Chasov Yar.

Mr. Nazar Voloshin – spokesman for Ukraine’s Khortitsa force group – said on April 15 that Kiev forces in the direction of Bakhmut and Avdiivka could only fire from 1 to 5 artillery shells compared to the enemy’s 10 shells, but the artillery

ISW noted that the ability of Ukrainian forces to repel increased Russian offensive operations in eastern Ukraine has declined due to lack of equipment and may continue to deteriorate in the near future if supply

Russia could have great success in Bakhmut

War map of Ukraine on April 15.

Notable comments in ISW’s April 15 report:

First, Kiev officials continue to warn that US security assistance is critical to the ability of Ukrainian forces to defend against current and future Russian offensive activities, expected

Second, a senior Estonian military official described Russia’s intensification of offensive operations on the front lines and deep offensive operations behind the lines as aimed at weakening Ukraine’s will to fight.

Third, Russia continues to adjust its drone tactics along the front line as part of an offensive-defensive arms race, to minimize Ukraine’s ability to adapt technology and take advantage of its material advantages.

Wednesday, an internal Russian source said that Russian officials are preparing to redeploy a number of former members of the Wagner Group who served in the Afrika Korps to the Belgorod region.

Thursday, the Russian-appointed head of Crimea’s administration, Sergei Aksenov, passed a decree restricting labor migration in Crimea, undermining the Kremlin’s efforts to alleviate labor shortages.

Friday, as recently as April 15, Russian troops made confirmed advances near Seversk (northeast of Bakhmut), Avdivka and western Donetsk.

Seventh, criminal prosecutions of men who evaded mandatory military service are said to have increased in Russia since autumn 2022.

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